SigPrices.com Blog
Analyzing the Autograph Sales of the NFL’s Playoff Quarterbacks
The NFL playoffs are upon us and, just as Tony D’Amato eloquently said in
Any Given Sunday, the quarterback is the top spot that makes all the difference between winning and losing. For the teams that have a marquee quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees or Tom Brady, those teams have a measurable advantage in reaching the promise land. But in a competition to see which marquee quarterback’s autograph is the most valuable, who comes out on top?
SigPrices.com, an online price guide for autographs and sports memorabilia, has the answer:

Certainly, the quarterback with the longest track record is Tom Brady. Brady broke into the NFL in 2000 as a 6th round pick. Over a decade later, Brady has two NFL MVP Awards and three Super Bowl rings. Oh, and he also married a Supermodel! Clearly, Brady seems to have it all. Likewise, any collector who obtains Brady’s autograph feels like a winner. Yet Brady’s autograph can be a bit pricey for the collector. Analyzing the most recent auction data over the last 45 days, an autographed Tom Brady football helmet authenticated by PSA DNA, for example, sold on eBay a little over a month ago for $650.
Although this value is the highest among the active marquee quarterbacks, one should remember that this helmet sold for great value as a similar example sold two years earlier on November 29, 2009 for $815. Waiting could have saved someone about 20%. Meanwhile, a signed jersey by the future Hall of Famer authenticated by PSA DNA sold in December for an average price of $423. Brady is clearly the cream of the crop when it comes to marquee quarterbacks.

Just a shade younger than Brady is Drew Brees. Brees was drafted in 2001 by the San Diego Charges as their “quarterback of the future.” After five inconsistent seasons, Brees signed with New Orleans as a free agent in 2006. From there, his career took off, culminating with a 2009 Super Bowl Championship and then setting the single year passing mark this season.
While Brees is certainly among the game’s marquee quarterbacks, his autograph value does not measure up to Brady’s. For example, a Drew Brees autographed football helmet authenticated by PSA DNA could be purchased for less than $300, like the one that sold on eBay December 27 for $279. This was great value as a similar example sold early in the 2010 season for $399. That is a savings of 30%! Meanwhile, Brees signed jerseys are not as valuable. A Drew Brees signed jersey authenticated by PSA DNA just sold January 1 for just $209 and another sold for just $185 on December 3--less than half of what some paid for Brady. Clearly, Brees autographed items can be found at great value as compared to Brady.
Finally, there is last year’s Supe
r Bowl MVP, Aaron Rodgers. Coming out of Pleasant Valley High in Chico, Calif., Rodgers actually did not even receive a college scholarship from a Division I school. He played one year at Butte Community College and then transferred to University of California. After two seasons at Cal, Rodgers was drafted by the Packers as the #24 overall pick. Incredibly, nearly all the NFL teams passed on Rodgers, but these days collectors never pass on the chance to get his autograph. A Rodgers signed football helmet authenticated by PSA DNA sold for as high as $395 on eBay last week. That's about 40% less that Brady’s, but 30% more than Brees. Meanwhile, a signed Rodgers jersey authenticated by PSA DNA, brought $293 just a few days later. While Rodgers has not yet reached Brady’s elite autograph status, he has already passed Brees and another Super Bowl championship may help lead Rodgers to the top.
Does Autograph Grading Matter?

Does a highly graded ball or photo bring a premium? The short answer is…it depends.
“The autograph grade greatly affects the value of a signed ball, but not a signed photo,” said Ben Milch of SigPrices.com, an online autograph price guide. “For example, a Mickey Mantle signed ball authenticated by PSA DNA without a grade sells for an average of $472. That is the equivalent of a ball being graded as a 7.5. Meanwhile, grades above 7.5 sell for a definite premium. The same ball authenticated by PSA DNA as an 8.5 grade sold on eBay over the last three months for an average of $723. That is an increase of 53%.” “However, a signed 8x10 photo of the Mick is a different story. For example, in the last three months on eBay, an 8x10 Mantle signed photo authenticated by PSA DNA without a grade is selling for approximately the same price as the photo authenticated graded a PSA DNA 9. Sometimes, the graded 9 version (see here) is even outsold by the ungraded version (see here ).
In the case of PSA DNA, graders take the condition of the baseball into consideration when issuing a grade. However, because of the impracticality of grading the huge variety of other items that can carry a signature, photos and other signed items are graded only on the quality of the signature.
While professional sports card authentication and grading has been around for about 20 years, autograph grading is a relatively new concept. The service has only been available for a few years and even now, many collectors choose to only have an item authenticated rather than pay extra for a grade.
“A common misconception about autograph grades is that the value of an autograph increases as the grade increases,” Milch told Sports Collectors Daily. “Since grading autographs is a recent phenomenon, prices tend to fluctuate because there is still not enough data to analyze a true price for an item. So, an autograph graded a PSA DNA 8 may actually sell for a higher price than a PSA DNA 9 simply because the graded 8 version sold earlier in time before many other autographs could be given grades. Over time however, we expect these prices to normalize to reflect the grading scale.”
Grading can have a huge impact on iconic rookie cards from the modern era. As of now, that’s not necessarily the case in the sports signature market.
“For modern autographs, the grade is not much of a factor since nearly all modern autographs are so new that they are rarely graded below 9. For vintage autographs, the grade is a larger factor because of the condition and legibility of the autograph. Buyers always want to pay a greater price for a crisp, clean autograph that looks as fresh as if the signer did it today.”
So if you’re buying the best you can afford, with an eye for quality and maybe the hope that down the road you’ll see a small return on your autograph grading investment, Milch has some advice.
“For autographed baseballs, items graded above 7.5 usually sell for a premium, but a collector can pick up a nice autographed baseball at 7.5 or 7 grade that would be a nice addition to the collection without breaking the bank,” he stated. “For other autographed items, the grade will vary depending on the scarcity of the item. Signed photos can often be obtained in grade 8 or 9 without hurting the wallet, while signatures on rarer items like letters will be pricey no matter the grade.”

Tracking the Value of a Single Signed Ty Cobb Baseball
Many pundits and historians argue about the greatest player of all time, but when it came down to the inaugural vote for the National Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown, one player stood out above the rest: Ty Cobb. According to the Hall of Fame voting, Ty Cobb received an astonishing 98.2% of the vote, which remains an all-time record!
Unsurprisingly, autographs for the legend who has been gone for exactly 50 years continue to hold collectors’ interest. In the past 6 years, a single-signed ball by Ty Cobb (authenticated by PSA/DNA) has skyrocketed in value! (See Accompanying Chart) According to SigPrices.com, in 2005, a single-signed Cobb ball sold at a Hunt Auction for $1500. Since then, the price of the ball fluctuated back and forth to a recent high of $5000 in an eBay auction on September 28, 2010. That represents an increase of 333%! Quite a coup for the collector during these hard economic times.
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Date
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Auction
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Value
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Auction Title
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09/28/2010
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Ebay
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$5000.00
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TY COBB SIGNED AUTOGRAPHED BASEBALL BALL PSA/DNA
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04/17/2010
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$1719.03
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ty cobb signed baseball psa/dna loa
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04/04/2009
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$2843.50
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ty cobb single signed baseball psa/dna
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03/06/2009
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$2900.00
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ty cobb single signed baseball. clean unused d&m "official league" ball is signed on a side panel, "to tim geiger from his friend ty cobb 1/30/61" in blue fountain pen.
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05/17/2008
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$3127.85
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ty cobb single signed baseball psa/dna
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11/10/2007
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$2600.00
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ty cobb single signed baseball. off white d&m "official league" ball signed on the side panel in blue fountain pen, "to tim geiger from his friend ty cobb 1/30/61."
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02/25/2005
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$3600.00
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ty cobb single signed baseball. lightly toned wilson model baseball signed on a side panel, "to tom baird from ty cobb 4/28/49" in black ink.
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02/25/2005
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$1500.00
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ty cobb auto. fdc. clean 1939 baseball centennial fdc features an inset sepia tone photo of cobb and is signed, "ty cobb 10/14/47" in blue ink.
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